Bringing Citi's Global Views to You with

Citi Wealth Insights

Stay updated on key global market developments and Citi's house views on the latest headlines

Priceless® Cities

Which Markets Will Move? US Policies Matter

1 Oct 2024

We’ve noted many times that today’s US presidential candidates of both parties have presided over historically large share price increases. The annualized return for the S&P 500 over the course of the Trump/Pence administration was 16.4% while Biden/Harris has averaged 13.1% to date. This can be credited significantly to the 10.9% annualized rise in S&P 500 earnings per share over the last eight years, not the person sitting in the White House.

Yet US Presidents do wield much power, and can change market expectations, particularly over the short term. The foreign policy and mix of domestic polices of Harris or Trump (presented in alphabetical order) are more than enough to sway the expectations of global markets.

Read more in your Citi Mobile® App’s Digital Library*.

China Finally Begins to Fight Deflation

China Finally Begins to Fight Deflation

24 Sep 2024

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), along with the banking, insurance and securities regulators announced a package of policies to improve liquidity conditions in the banking, real estate and equity markets. These measures came on the heels of the Fed’s first rate cut, which helped to strengthen the Chinese yuan (CNY) and removed a key factor holding back Chinese monetary stimulus. Further weakening economic data and prolonged deflation were likely also triggers for this policy response.

The announced policies are all financial in nature and may encourage investors to engage in domestic carry trades with cheap PBOC funding and relatively high dividend yields. This is likely to boost the A-share market in particular.

Read more in your Citi Mobile® App’s Digital Library*.

Road to White House

Road to White House: Part 1

2 Oct 2024

On November 5, 2024, the US will hold its 60th Presidential election. Historically, the stock market has performed better early on in an election year when the incumbent party candidate later won. Recessions are more common in years one and four of a Presidential term.

The 2024 election will be the first with rising bond yields since 1980.

  • If former President Trump is the Republican nominee and wins re-election, that could mean higher tariffs, tighter borders, and an “America first” foreign policy.
  • The current top contenders would each be a second-term President. First year returns are typically higher during second terms, but equities often post lackluster performance near the end of a second term as succession uncertainty rises.
  • The Senate map is favorable for Republicans in 2024 who have fewer seats up for election. Historically, the stock market prefers divided government and gridlock.
  • In 2024, neither party appears anxious to reform Social Security or allow provisions of the 2017 tax cuts to sunset in 2025. As a result, deficits should continue until pressure mounts.
  • Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and US-China tensions have led to geopolitical uncertainty being elevated relative to US economic policy uncertainty.
  • Many US voters would rather not have a rematch between President’s Biden and Trump. But rematches have occurred throughout history. In Allan Lichtman’s book, The Keys to the White House, the Democratic Party’s chances of holding onto the White House could go down if they selected someone other than President Biden as their standard bearer. According to PredictIt, the Democrats currently have a 55 percent chance in maintaining the White House.

Read more in your Citi Mobile® App’s Digital Library*.

Roadtowhitehouse

Road to White House: Part 2
2 Oct 2024

On December 6, Republicans held what may be their last debate before the primary season.

  • PredictIt now gives former President Trump 79% odds of being the Republican nominee followed by Nikki Haley at 15%. Meanwhile, President Biden has 72% odds of being the Democratic nominee followed by Gavin Newsom at 18%. The ultimate Democratic nominee has 54% odds of winning the Presidential election versus 47% for the Republican challenger.
  • In 2024, Democrats are using South Carolina and Michigan as their early primary states. The winners in South Carolina and Iowa have won the nomination more frequently than those of New Hampshire or Michigan. Republicans are sticking with Iowa and New Hampshire to start. The winners in South Carolina, New Hampshire, and Michigan have won the nomination more consistently than those who won in Iowa.
  • In 2024, the Presidential election will likely come down to several battleground states that Biden won in 2020 but have recently been favoring Trump in the early polls. A recent CNN poll in two battleground states also showed Trump doing better with younger voters than in 2020.
  • General elections since 1968 produced gridlock a little more often than a unified government with the Presidency, House, and Senate all controlled by the same party. The Presidency has flipped parties the most from one general election to the next. The House has flipped parties the least from one general election to the next (omitting midterm realignments).
  • Republicans are from Mars and Democrats are from Venus. GOP voters prioritize inflation, the deficit, and immigration; Democrats focus more on gun violence, climate change, and healthcare.
  • The Presidential approval rating is currently 37%; since 1963 it’s been higher 90% of the time

Read more in your Citi Mobile® App’s Digital Library*.

Our Wealth Solutions

Exclusive-Privileges.jpg

Deposits Account

Choose from a variety of our offerings to enjoy higher interest rates on your savings and suit your financial planning needs, even with options to hold it in your local currency.

Exclusive-Privileges.jpg

Investment Products

Grow and build your wealth with Citi's wide array of wealth management solutions and investment products.

Exclusive-Privileges.jpg

Citibank Portfolio Finance

Citibank Portfolio Finance enables you to borrow at competitive rates against a broad range of financial assets as collaterals, including cash and equivalents, equities, bonds, mutual funds and structured notes, to meet liquidity needs and investment opportunities.

Exclusive-Privileges.jpg

Mortgage

Your search for an ideal property financing solution ends with Citi Mortgage. Our Mortgage Advisors and Mortgage Client Care Team are committed to partnering you throughout your mortgage journey with us.

Exclusive-Privileges.jpg

Insurance

In partnership with AIA, we help you protect your wealth against unforeseen events in life and safeguard the legacy you want to leave for your loved ones, with our suite of insurance solutions and dedicated insurance specialists.

Start your wealth journey with a Citi account.

At Citi, we understand your aspirations and wealth goals evolve over time. That is why we offer a range of wealth advisory as well as products and solutions to suit your changing needs.

Citigold

Singapore Clients: AUM S$250,000 to < S$1.5 Million

IPB Clients: AUM US$200,000 to < US$1 Million

  • Be supported by a dedicated Relationship Manager and team of specialists
  • Set, track and modify your goals with the Total Wealth Advisor tool
  • Manage your wealth on-the-go with the Citi Mobile® App
  • Enjoy preferential rates and lifestyle privileges curated for you
  • Be invited to market outlook and bespoke lifestyle events

Citigold Private Client

Singapore Clients: AUM S$1.5 Million and above

IPB Clients: AUM US$1 Million and above

  • Be supported by a dedicated Senior Relationship Manager and team of senior specialists
  • Gain access to a range of portfolio management and digital wealth tools, and enjoy preferential rates
  • Manage your wealth on-the-go with the Citi Mobile® App
  • Relish in a broad range of travel and lifestyle privileges
  • Be invited to market outlook and bespoke lifestyle events

*Digital Library in Citi Mobile® App is available for Citigold and Citigold Private Client customers, and approved offshore customers

Contents herewith are for general information only and should not be relied upon as financial advice. Such contents have no regard to the specific objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific person and is not intended to be an exhaustive discussion of the strategies or concepts mentioned herein or tax or legal advice. It is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase, nor endorsement or recommendation of, any products or services by Citibank Singapore Limited ("CSL"), its related entities, or their respective representatives, directors, agents and employees (together, “Citigroup”). This email does not constitute the distribution of any information or the making of any offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such distribution, offer or solicitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to distribute such information or make any offer or solicitation.

This communication is distributed by Citibank Singapore Limited (‘CSL’) and is for general information purposes only. CSL provides no independent research or analysis of the substance or in preparation of this communication. Investment products are not insured under the provisions of the Deposit Insurance and Policy Owners’ Protection Schemes Act of Singapore and are not eligible for deposit insurance coverage under the Deposit Insurance Scheme.

Citigroup makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, truth, adequacy, completeness, fitness for purpose, non-infringement of third party rights or continued applicability of the contents of this email. Citigroup shall not be liable for any complaint, suit, action, claim, expense, loss or damages directly or indirectly arising out of or in connection with any person’s viewing, reliance on or acting upon or use of any contents in this webpage.

Any person interested in the strategies or concepts mentioned herein should consult their independent tax, legal, financial or other advisors, as appropriate. It is not intended as a recommendation nor an offer or solicitation for the purchase, loan, swap or sale of securities, financial products, services or currencies. Interested investors should seek the advice of their Relationship Managers as appropriate.

For full disclaimers and terms and conditions applicable to relevant products and services, go to Citibank Online and click on “BANKING INFORMATION” at the bottom of the page.

©2024 Citibank Singapore Limited. All rights reserved. Citi, Citibank, Citigold Private Client, Citi and Arc Design, and other marks used herein are service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates, used and registered throughout the world. Citibank Singapore Limited Co. Reg. No. 200309485K.

Important Information

You are leaving a Citi Website and going to a third party site. That site may have a privacy policy different from Citi and may provide less security than this Citi site. Citi and its affiliates are not responsible for the products, services, and content on the third party website. Do you want to go to the third party site?
Citi is not responsible for the products, services or facilities provided and/or owned by other companies.